Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 961.048830 1091.857477 1238.876359 1417.314971 1629.311319 1874.718054 2182.609762
2025-04-27 767.387704 937.324600 1146.949686 1428.437877 1802.577274 2291.624990 2994.371017
2025-05-04 672.529412 859.118126 1103.167442 1453.175588 1955.000524 2669.412298 3803.975332
2025-05-11 602.825941 797.831486 1065.116896 1469.679595 2087.885310 3035.616630 4682.573931
2025-05-18 561.420641 766.628145 1059.894416 1526.113661 2282.132647 3526.355036 5890.794041
2025-05-25 519.647809 728.282819 1037.087856 1549.046562 2423.418498 3956.815709 7122.387697
2025-06-01 479.085054 686.309598 1002.296659 1545.465398 2516.367935 4319.088671 8337.599364
2025-06-08 443.842781 648.263409 968.348272 1536.825432 2596.322856 4671.603862 9653.191010
2025-06-15 421.549722 627.875841 959.772843 1569.401165 2756.405565 5218.225294 11629.854648
2025-06-22 387.147024 584.715217 908.708611 1518.476382 2744.464168 5398.098320 12756.205336
2025-06-29 358.340844 548.243709 865.313457 1475.871452 2741.529263 5596.579344 14020.168047
2025-07-06 331.661674 513.192032 821.106044 1426.185705 2715.283799 5734.489781 15171.836514
2025-07-13 321.175433 505.576300 825.996025 1475.677185 2920.303763 6512.249386 18854.307525
2025-07-20 306.334480 489.323043 813.928892 1490.201657 3051.637800 7148.297750 22520.157511
2025-07-27 294.414149 477.096270 807.845451 1515.846020 3214.064686 7924.009959 27343.251406
2025-08-03 282.544343 463.943767 798.614225 1533.322339 3360.209691 8705.545439 32919.226233
2025-08-10 276.360261 460.620019 807.931870 1592.850993 3628.336666 9976.476094 42295.127710
2025-08-17 266.797983 450.205935 802.120866 1617.056570 3807.344843 11028.455522 51903.385015
2025-08-24 255.202965 435.072047 785.351931 1613.276331 3907.219500 11843.254733 61265.972418
2025-08-31 244.026332 419.963698 767.320303 1604.157313 3990.269785 12635.582147 71837.602279
2025-09-07 237.566540 413.573175 766.944964 1638.543119 4214.320908 14111.824554 90978.205181
2025-09-14 224.051441 392.388938 733.341447 1584.793160 4149.399511 14322.385434 99109.779925
2025-09-21 212.233427 373.931536 704.337537 1539.843881 4105.637000 14622.022060 109068.834751